Posts from fivethirtyeight.com
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No, Ohio State Isn’t A Quarterback School. But There Are No Quarterback Schools.No, Ohio State Isn’t A Quarterback School. But There Are No Quarterback Schools.
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What Comes Next For QAnon FollowersIt didn’t take long for the neo-Nazis to show up. Minutes after Joe Biden’s inauguration, as followers of QAnon were trying to understand how their predictions …
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Why There Are So Few Moderate Republicans LeftAnd why that’s not likely to change. Monday marks the first night of the Republican National Convention, and things could certainly be going better for President Trump.
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Partisans Don’t Just Disagree, They Hate One AnotherIn this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what has contributed to partisan discord and why Americans are not just disagreeing …
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Our Radicalized RepublicCan President Biden, or anyone else, overcome years of rising partisan hatred?
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What Went Down During Joe Biden’s InaugurationLive coverage of the inauguration of Joe Biden as the 46th president of the United States and Kamala Harris as vice president, in Washington D.C., on January 20, 2021.
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Storming The U.S. Capitol Was About Maintaining White Power In AmericaOn Wednesday, after weeks of refusing to accept the outcome of the election, President Trump’s supporters stormed the Capitol of the United States as members of…
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Georgia Was A Disaster For Republicans. It’s Not Clear Where They Can Go Next.The terrifying mob attack on the Capitol on Wednesday, among its many effects, quickly shifted focus from the other big news of the week: the runoffs for U.S. S…
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Trump Helped Take Extremist Views From The Fringes Of Society To A Mob Attacking The CapitolFaith in the integrity of the presidential election has been concerningly low for months — in large part because of President Trump’s repeated false claims that…
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Police Are Killing Fewer People In Big Cities, But More In Suburban And Rural AmericaUPDATE (August 27, 2020, 2:58 p.m.): We originally published this article earlier this year, after a police officer killed George Floyd in Minneapolis. In light…
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The Police’s Tepid Response To The Capitol Breach Wasn’t An AberrationAuthorities are more than twice as likely to break up a left-wing protest than a right-wing protest.
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What Happened This Week In Washington — And GeorgiaLive election results and coverage of the two Georgia Senate runoffs, and Congress's vote to certify each state’s electoral votes in the 2020 presidential contest.
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Why A Split Verdict In Georgia Isn’t That CrazyEven with many prestigious pollsters sitting the Georgia runoffs out, there have been plenty of polls of the two U.S. Senate runoffs and they continue to show a…
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What Happens When Humans Fall In Love With An Invasive SpeciesOn a rocky strip of Lake Superior beachfront, the rites of spring begin at dusk and involve fish. Lots and lots of fish. Every year, like clockwork, slender, si…
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Dr. Fauci On When Life Will Return To ‘Normal’It’s the holiday season, and thanks to the hard work of many, many scientists, we got the best gift of all: COVID-19 vaccines that work better than any of us co…
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What To Watch For In The 2020-21 NBA SeasonFiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR projections are back … and we’ve made some adjustments to improve our forecasts.
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How A Dead Millionaire Convinced Dozens Of Women To Have As Many Babies As PossibleOn Oct. 31, 1926, Charles Vance Millar, a well-known and wealthy Canadian lawyer, died at age 73. Halloween was a fitting day for him to go; Millar loved practi…
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Why So Many Men Stuck With Trump In 2020Given how unreliable the exit polls were this year, it will likely be a while before we know exactly how differently men and women voted in 2020. But a new surv…