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Posts from fivethirtyeight.com
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There Are Officially Zero Men’s Grand Slam Winners In Their 20sThe tennis elite aren't letting youngsters into their club.
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North Carolina’s New House Map Hands Democrats Two Seats — But It Still Leans RepublicanIt doesn’t get a lot of attention next to the presidential race, but Republicans have a fighting chance to retake control of the U.S. House next year. Dozens of…
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The Nationals Went All In On Just A Few Great Pitchers. Will Others Do The Same?The Nationals ended a 95-year World Series drought in Washington, D.C., by employing a different type of road map than that of most MLB champions this century. …
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Silver Bulletpoints: Who’s In Danger Of Missing The Third Debate?Welcome to a special edition of Silver Bulletpoints, where today we’ll fire all three of our bulletpoints at one topic: the DNC’s decision to substantially tigh…
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What Happens When The FEC Can’t Do Its Job?Welcome to a special edition of FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor)…
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If Republicans Ever Turn On Trump, It’ll Happen All At OnceIt'll feel inevitable, but only in hindsight.
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National Polls And State Polls Show Pretty Much The Same ThingDon’t ignore South Carolina and Nevada.
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Both Parties Think The Mueller Report Was Fair. They Just Completely Disagree On What It Says.Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week: It has been a little over two weeks since special counsel Robert Mueller’s report on R…
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Where Kamala Harris’s New Voters Came FromLast week, FiveThirtyEight partnered with the survey firm Morning Consult to poll how Democratic voters’ opinions changed as a result of last week’s two-night p…
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1 In 5 Democratic Donors Are Giving To More Than One Presidential CandidateSmall-dollar campaign fundraising is a notorious black box. The Federal Election Commission releases candidates’ fundraising data regularly, but campaigns are o…
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How A Big Enough News Story — Like Impeachment — Could Warp The PollsThe impeachment story is blowing up. It’s a high-stakes moment — for President Trump, for Democrats and for pollsters. It’s also a scary moment for polling. Ye…
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Where I Think The Candidates Stand After The Second DebateI’m writing this on Thursday morning, before there’s much, if any, polling available that reflects how Democrats’ preferences changed following the two-night pr…
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The Moderate Middle Is A MythGraphics by Ella Koeze Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Independent voters will decide the election. Or better yet: Moderate voters will decide the elec…
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The Supreme Court Stopped The Census Citizenship Question — For NowThe decision came down to the rationale provided by the Trump administration.
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The Paris Agreement Would Have Been Less Partisan 30 Years AgoPresident Trump announced Thursday that he plans to withdraw the U.S. from the Paris climate agreement, a nonbinding 2015 deal that commits nearly the entire wo…
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Significant Digits For Monday, June 3, 2019You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. 3 companies NASA has selected three companies, who will share in a $253…
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Where Kamala Harris’s New Voters Came FromLast week, FiveThirtyEight partnered with the survey firm Morning Consult to poll how Democratic voters’ opinions changed as a result of last week’s two-night p…
fivethirtyeight.com
The Paris Agreement Would Have Been Less Partisan 30 Years AgoPresident Trump announced Thursday that he plans to withdraw the U.S. from the Paris climate agreement, a nonbinding 2015 deal that commits nearly the entire wo…
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It Doesn’t Hurt To Hire Alumni As Head Coaches. But It Doesn’t Help, Either.Coaches at their alma maters are statistically indistinguishable from non-alumni.
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How To Break Your Phone AddictionChange the way your smartphone looks or let it charge in a different room.